Reigning MVP Aaron Rodgers will play for the Green Bay Packers in 2021 after months of uncertainty. And, as expected, Rodgers’ decision has a big impact on the NFL betting odds.
Before the Rodgers’ news broke, here were the NFC North champion odds for the top three teams at FanDuel Sportsbook in Illinois:
- Green Bay Packers: +150
- Minnesota Vikings: +155
- Chicago Bears: +270
And here’s where they stand now:
- Green Bay Packers: -155
- Minnesota Vikings: +260
- Chicago Bears: +460
Just a few days ago, a $100 winning Packers NFC North bet would have netted $150. Now, it would only net $64.52.
On Saturday, the Packers were +3,500 to win the Super Bowl at DraftKings. That was the highest number available at any Illinois sportsbook.
Now, the Packers are +1,200 to hoist the Lombardi Trophy at DraftKings. It’s not exactly shocking, but worth noting:
When one of the greatest quarterbacks of all time decides where he’s will play the coming season after months of uncertainty, prepare to see some drastic odds changes.
Packers 2021 NFL season odds
With Rodgers in the fold, Green Bay is a legitimate Super Bowl contender.
Last season, they were one win away from making the Super Bowl. The Packers lost to the eventual champion Buccaneers in the NFC title game.
Only three teams — the Chiefs, Buccaneers and Bills — have shorter Super Bowl odds. The Packers return almost all of last year’s roster, which finished 13-3. This season may be the last this group plays together, but it’s a loaded team top to bottom.
Here are more Packers lines at DraftKings. Keep in mind that there are 17 regular-season games this year:
- Regular-season win total: Over 10 (-125), under 10 (+105)
- Make the playoffs: Yes (-280), no (+210)
- NFC champion: +600
- Aaron Rodgers MVP: +1,000
- Aaron Rodgers regular-season passing touchdowns: Over 35.5 (-115), under 35.5 (-115)
2021 NFL season Bears odds
Rodgers returning to the Packers is obviously bad news for the Bears. Rodgers has owned the NFC North for the last decade-plus, and he put forth two brilliant performances against them in 2020.
With that said, there is hope for the Bears in the future. This season will likely be Rodgers’ last in Green Bay, and Chicago could have the best quarterback in the division going forward in Justin Fields.
In the meantime, 2021 could prove to be rough sledding for the Bears. Andy Dalton will likely open the season as the starter, and it’s hard to imagine their roster seriously challenging the Packers.
Here are some interesting 2021 Bears lines at DraftKings:
- Win the Super Bowl: +6,500
- Regular-season win total: Over 7.5 (+100), under 7.5 (-120)
- Make the playoffs: Yes (+190), no (-240)
- Justin Fields offensive rookie of the year: +750
- Justin Fields to take the first snap of the regular season: Yes (+300), no (-450)
The Bears will play this season without wide receiver Anthony Miller, who was traded to the Houston Texans this week. Indirectly, that may have played a small role in Rodgers returning to the Packers.
Green Bay just traded for Rodgers’ old friend Randall Cobb, who was on the Texans. Miller appears to be Cobb’s replacement.
The Bears travel to Los Angeles to take on the Rams in Week 1 and are touchdown underdogs at DraftKings.
As of now, only the Lions (+7.5 against the 49ers) are bigger opening week underdogs.