WNBA Semifinals Odds: Sportsbooks Like Sun To Force Series Back To Connecticut

Written By Derek Helling on October 6, 2021

The Chicago Sky (2-1) playoff betting caravan could go onto the 2021 WNBA Finals following a win at Wintrust Arena tonight against the Connecticut Sun (1-2).

However, Illinois sports betting apps aren’t on the fan bandwagon as they predict a Connecticut victory in Game 4.

Given the Sky’s inconsistency during the regular season and their showing in Game 2 of this series, it isn’t a surprise that sportsbooks went this way. Could bettors make them pay?

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Lines for Chicago Sky playoff betting Wednesday

As of Wednesday morning, IL sports betting apps had barely moved off their lines for Game 3 despite Chicago’s 86-83 win. The Sun had plenty of chances to win the contest Sunday, which is part of the explanation.

SportsbookSpreadTotalMoneyline
BetRivers SportsbookConnecticut -4 -113
Chicago +4 -110
Over 155.5 -112
Under 155.5 -112
Connecticut -177
Chicago +145
DraftKings SportsbookConnecticut -4 -110
Chicago +4 -110
Over 154.5 -115
Under 154.5 -105
Connecticut -180
Chicago +155
FanDuel SportsbookConnecticut -4.5 -104
Chicago +4.5 -118
Over 154.5 -112
Under 154.5 -108
Connecticut -184
Chicago +148
PointsBet SportsbookConnecticut -4.5 -105
Chicago +4.5 -115
Over 155.5 -110
Under 155.5 -110
Connecticut -196
Chicago +165

Chicago is 4-1 against the spread this season in the playoffs, with that one instance of not covering coming in Game 2 in Connecticut. That was also the only game of this series so far in which the total didn’t go over.

Home teams are a narrow 6-4 so far this WNBA postseason, and the scoring has been about even. Prior to Sunday’s Game 3s, road teams had narrowly outscored home teams in the 2021 playoffs.

How bettors approach this game depends on whether they believe the Sun can replicate their success in the second game of this series or whether they think the Sky can capitalize on the moment.

What adjustments did Connecticut make in Game 2?

On Thursday, the Sky looked like they would continue with their momentum from Game 1 early. After scoring all of Game 2’s first 11 points, the Sun seemingly flipped a switch and held Chicago to just 57 points the rest of the way.

The Sky ended up shooting under 40% from the field and attempted 26 three-point shots in the game. In Game 1‘s double-overtime win, Chicago shot almost 50% from the floor and took 22 three-point attempts.

The Sky shot just over 46% from the field on Sunday, including going 9-20 from three-point range. It was also the first game of the series in which Chicago outrebounded Connecticut.

Which result bettors can cash in on today depends on whether the Sun can get back to forcing the Sky to take low-percentage shots instead of leaving driving lanes open and win the rebounding battle. If Chicago can catch Connecticut out of position and do enough work on the glass, the Over could hit again today.

If the Sky prevail Wednesday, they will reach the WNBA Finals for the second time in franchise history and for the first time since 2014. Doing so would also make some faithful bettors a little richer, as IL sportsbooks aren’t among them.

Photo by Charles Rex Arbogast / AP
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Derek Helling

Derek Helling is a freelance journalist who resides in Chicago. He is a 2013 graduate of the University of Iowa and covers the intersections of sports with business and the law.

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